tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 74%

  1. 08:05 IAH → 11:09 ATL
    DL 644 · Delta · 2h 04m · 89% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:59 ATL → 16:28 JFK
    DL 1575 · Delta · 2h 29m · 77% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 23mIAH 08:05 to JFK 16:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.