tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 59%

  1. 08:05 IAH → 11:09 ATL
    DL 644 · Delta · 2h 04m · 89% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:05 ATL → 14:20 EWR
    DL 2312 · Delta · 2h 15m · 72% on time, 4.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (4.7% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 15mIAH 08:05 to EWR 14:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.