tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Minneapolis via Atlanta: arrives on time 53%

  1. 13:05 MCO → 14:49 ATL
    DL 664 · Delta · 1h 44m · 82% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:38 ATL → 17:16 MSP
    DL 2981 · Delta · 2h 39m · 74% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 12mMCO 13:05 to MSP 17:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.