tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → San Francisco via Atlanta: arrives on time 44%

  1. 13:05 MCO → 14:49 ATL
    DL 664 · Delta · 1h 44m · 82% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:35 ATL → 17:31 SFO
    DL 823 · Delta · 5h 02m · 66% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip7h 32mMCO 13:05 to SFO 17:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.