tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Miami via Atlanta: arrives on time 47%

  1. 11:38 SFO → 19:27 ATL
    DL 693 · Delta · 4h 51m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:16 ATL → 22:17 MIA
    DL 1588 · Delta · 2h 01m · 66% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip7h 39mSFO 11:38 to MIA 22:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.