tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Raleigh/Durham via Atlanta: arrives on time 55%

  1. 11:38 SFO → 19:27 ATL
    DL 693 · Delta · 4h 51m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:18 ATL → 21:48 RDU
    DL 3244 · Delta · 1h 30m · 74% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 10mSFO 11:38 to RDU 21:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.