tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Santa Ana via Seattle: arrives on time 83%

  1. 07:00 JFK → 10:05 SEA
    DL 699 · Delta · 6h 05m · 74% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 44m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:49 SEA → 16:41 SNA
    AS 773 · Alaska · 2h 52m · 87% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 12h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 134 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 44m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip12h 41mJFK 07:00 to SNA 16:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.