tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 70%

  1. 07:00 JFK → 10:05 SEA
    DL 699 · Delta · 6h 05m · 74% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:30 SEA → 16:15 ANC
    DL 928 · Delta · 3h 45m · 73% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 13h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 4 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip13h 15mJFK 07:00 to ANC 16:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.