tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Minneapolis via Atlanta: arrives on time 50%

  1. 14:15 LAX → 21:53 ATL
    DL 715 · Delta · 4h 35m · 82% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 ATL → 00:17 MSP +1 day
    DL 1310 · Delta · 2h 37m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 02mLAX 14:15 to MSP 00:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.