tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Atlanta: arrives on time 55%

  1. 14:15 LAX → 21:53 ATL
    DL 715 · Delta · 4h 35m · 82% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 ATL → 23:50 XNA
    DL 4441 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 00m · 72% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip7h 35mLAX 14:15 to XNA 23:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.