tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Houston via Atlanta: arrives on time 41%

  1. 18:54 BNA → 21:17 ATL
    DL 719 · Delta · 1h 23m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 33m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:50 ATL → 00:10 HOU +1 day
    WN 207 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 33m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip5h 11mBNA 18:54 to HOU 00:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.