tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 56%

  1. 06:45 SNA → 14:19 ATL
    DL 721 · Delta · 4h 29m · 81% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:33 ATL → 17:54 EWR
    DL 2340 · Delta · 2h 21m · 66% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip8h 09mSNA 06:45 to EWR 17:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.