tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Minneapolis via Atlanta: arrives on time 65%

  1. 06:45 SNA → 14:19 ATL
    DL 721 · Delta · 4h 29m · 81% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:38 ATL → 17:16 MSP
    DL 2981 · Delta · 2h 39m · 74% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip8h 32mSNA 06:45 to MSP 17:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.