tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 55%

  1. 06:45 SNA → 14:19 ATL
    DL 721 · Delta · 4h 29m · 81% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 36m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:55 ATL → 19:48 DCA
    DL 832 · Delta · 1h 53m · 59% on time, 3.7% cancelled

Total trip 10h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 171 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 36m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.7% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip10h 03mSNA 06:45 to DCA 19:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.