tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 59%

  1. 06:45 SNA → 14:19 ATL
    DL 721 · Delta · 4h 29m · 81% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:40 ATL → 18:33 DCA
    DL 950 · Delta · 1h 53m · 65% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip8h 48mSNA 06:45 to DCA 18:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.