tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 61%

  1. 06:45 SNA → 14:19 ATL
    DL 721 · Delta · 4h 29m · 81% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 ATL → 19:20 LGA
    DL 997 · Delta · 2h 20m · 68% on time, 4.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (4.6% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip9h 35mSNA 06:45 to LGA 19:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.