tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Santa Ana via Seattle: arrives on time 84%

  1. 12:31 DTW → 14:30 SEA
    DL 728 · Delta · 4h 59m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:20 SEA → 20:08 SNA
    AS 472 · Alaska · 2h 48m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip10h 37mDTW 12:31 to SNA 20:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.