tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Minneapolis via Atlanta: arrives on time 63%

  1. 06:15 SAN → 13:43 ATL
    DL 729 · Delta · 4h 28m · 92% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:31 ATL → 16:09 MSP
    DL 2825 · Delta · 2h 38m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 54mSAN 06:15 to MSP 16:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.