tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 49%

  1. 14:28 ILM → 16:05 ATL
    DL 731 · Delta · 1h 37m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:35 ATL → 20:54 EWR
    DL 2498 · Delta · 2h 20m · 56% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip6h 27mILM 14:28 to EWR 20:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.