tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 60%

  1. 14:28 ILM → 16:05 ATL
    DL 731 · Delta · 1h 37m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 ATL → 21:25 LGA
    DL 468 · Delta · 2h 25m · 67% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 57mILM 14:28 to LGA 21:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.