tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Santa Ana via Seattle: arrives on time 83%

  1. 08:30 DTW → 10:31 SEA
    DL 734 · Delta · 5h 01m · 76% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 18m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:49 SEA → 16:41 SNA
    AS 773 · Alaska · 2h 52m · 87% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 11h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 108 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 18m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip11h 11mDTW 08:30 to SNA 16:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.