tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Milwaukee via Atlanta: arrives on time 49%

  1. 13:42 DCA → 15:42 ATL
    DL 737 · Delta · 2h 00m · 77% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:31 ATL → 17:35 MKE
    DL 1206 · Delta · 2h 03m · 75% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 52mDCA 13:42 to MKE 17:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.