tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Portland via Los Angeles: arrives on time 83%

  1. 15:00 JFK → 18:08 LAX
    DL 738 · Delta · 6h 08m · 77% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 27m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:35 LAX → 23:56 PDX
    AS 207 · Alaska · 2h 21m · 88% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 11h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 117 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 27m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip11h 56mJFK 15:00 to PDX 23:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.