tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Las Vegas via Los Angeles: arrives on time 75%

  1. 15:00 JFK → 18:08 LAX
    DL 738 · Delta · 6h 08m · 77% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 17m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 LAX → 22:45 LAS
    DL 2653 · Delta · 1h 20m · 79% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 10h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 152 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 17m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip10h 45mJFK 15:00 to LAS 22:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.