tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → San Antonio via Los Angeles: arrives on time 56%

  1. 15:00 JFK → 18:08 LAX
    DL 738 · Delta · 6h 08m · 77% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:59 LAX → 23:52 SAT
    DL 2686 · Delta · 2h 53m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Antonio is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip9h 52mJFK 15:00 to SAT 23:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.