tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → San Diego via Los Angeles: arrives on time 83%

  1. 15:00 JFK → 18:08 LAX
    DL 738 · Delta · 6h 08m · 77% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 4h 32m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 LAX → 23:40 SAN
    DL 3746 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 00m · 87% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 11h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 227 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 32m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip11h 40mJFK 15:00 to SAN 23:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.