tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 88%

  1. 15:00 JFK → 18:08 LAX
    DL 738 · Delta · 6h 08m · 77% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 14m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:22 LAX → 22:59 PHX
    UA 5458 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 104 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 14m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip10h 59mJFK 15:00 to PHX 22:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.