tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Orlando via Atlanta: arrives on time 55%

  1. 06:35 SMF → 14:12 ATL
    DL 741 · Delta · 4h 37m · 93% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 48m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 ATL → 19:45 MCO
    DL 2035 · Delta · 1h 45m · 57% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 10h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 183 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 48m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip10h 10mSMF 06:35 to MCO 19:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.