tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 61%

  1. 06:35 SMF → 14:12 ATL
    DL 741 · Delta · 4h 37m · 93% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:33 ATL → 17:54 EWR
    DL 2340 · Delta · 2h 21m · 66% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip8h 19mSMF 06:35 to EWR 17:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.