tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 73%

  1. 06:35 SMF → 14:12 ATL
    DL 741 · Delta · 4h 37m · 93% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 4h 30m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:42 ATL → 21:28 JFK
    DL 2398 · Delta · 2h 46m · 76% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 11h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 225 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 30m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip11h 53mSMF 06:35 to JFK 21:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.