tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Minneapolis via Atlanta: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:35 SMF → 14:12 ATL
    DL 741 · Delta · 4h 37m · 93% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 19m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:31 ATL → 18:09 MSP
    DL 2654 · Delta · 2h 38m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 94 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 19m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip9h 34mSMF 06:35 to MSP 18:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.