tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Baltimore via Atlanta: arrives on time 67%

  1. 06:35 SMF → 14:12 ATL
    DL 741 · Delta · 4h 37m · 93% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:27 ATL → 18:23 BWI
    DL 2928 · Delta · 1h 54m · 72% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip8h 46mSMF 06:35 to BWI 18:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.