tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Nashville via Atlanta: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:35 SMF → 14:12 ATL
    DL 741 · Delta · 4h 37m · 93% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:13 ATL → 15:26 BNA
    DL 3142 · Delta · 1h 13m · 75% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 51mSMF 06:35 to BNA 15:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.