tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 84%

  1. 07:00 JFK → 10:00 LAX
    DL 742 · Delta · 6h 00m · 78% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 48m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:48 LAX → 15:21 PHX
    DL 3894 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 35m · 88% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 11h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 183 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 48m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip11h 23mJFK 07:00 to PHX 15:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.