tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Buffalo via Atlanta: arrives on time 79%

  1. 08:45 TPA → 10:20 ATL
    DL 744 · Delta · 1h 35m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:00 ATL → 16:06 BUF
    DL 2266 · Delta · 2h 06m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 175 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 21mTPA 08:45 to BUF 16:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.