tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Birmingham via Atlanta: arrives on time 84%

  1. 08:45 TPA → 10:20 ATL
    DL 744 · Delta · 1h 35m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:30 ATL → 13:24 BHM
    DL 3012 · Delta · 54m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 39mTPA 08:45 to BHM 13:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.