tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Sacramento via Los Angeles: arrives on time 82%

  1. 13:40 JFK → 16:38 LAX
    DL 747 · Delta · 6h 02m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 13m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:51 LAX → 20:25 SMF
    DL 3759 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 34m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 88 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 13m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip9h 45mJFK 13:40 to SMF 20:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.