tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Austin via Los Angeles: arrives on time 80%

  1. 13:40 JFK → 16:38 LAX
    DL 747 · Delta · 6h 02m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:45 LAX → 23:59 AUS
    UA 5456 · United, flown by SkyWest · 3h 14m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip11h 19mJFK 13:40 to AUS 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.