tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 76%

  1. 19:15 TPA → 21:17 LAX
    DL 749 · Delta · 5h 02m · 76% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:35 LAX → 00:10 PHX +1 day
    DL 3827 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 35m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 55mTPA 19:15 to PHX 00:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.