tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Aspen via Los Angeles: arrives on time 67%

  1. 14:35 ATL → 16:16 LAX
    DL 753 · Delta · 4h 41m · 85% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:12 LAX → 20:23 ASE
    DL 3704 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 11m · 84% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Aspen is 2 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 48mATL 14:35 to ASE 20:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.