tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Philadelphia via Detroit: arrives on time 64%

  1. 06:15 SAN → 13:47 DTW
    DL 754 · Delta · 4h 32m · 91% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:53 DTW → 16:36 PHL
    DL 1391 · Delta · 1h 43m · 71% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 21mSAN 06:15 to PHL 16:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.