tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Philadelphia via Detroit: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:15 SAN → 13:47 DTW
    DL 754 · Delta · 4h 32m · 91% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 53m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:40 DTW → 19:25 PHL
    DL 1686 · Delta · 1h 45m · 72% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 10h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 188 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 53m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip10h 10mSAN 06:15 to PHL 19:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.