tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Washington via Detroit: arrives on time 56%

  1. 06:15 SAN → 13:47 DTW
    DL 754 · Delta · 4h 32m · 91% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 38m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:25 DTW → 18:59 DCA
    DL 2030 · Delta · 1h 34m · 59% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 173 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 38m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip9h 44mSAN 06:15 to DCA 18:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.