tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Austin via Atlanta: arrives on time 42%

  1. 17:55 TPA → 19:42 ATL
    DL 759 · Delta · 1h 46m · 70% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:45 ATL → 22:07 AUS
    DL 1081 · Delta · 2h 27m · 60% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip5h 17mTPA 17:55 to AUS 22:07, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.