tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Houston via Atlanta: arrives on time 46%

  1. 17:55 TPA → 19:42 ATL
    DL 759 · Delta · 1h 46m · 70% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 ATL → 21:43 HOU
    DL 2051 · Delta · 2h 08m · 73% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip4h 48mTPA 17:55 to HOU 21:43, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.