tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 47%

  1. 17:55 TPA → 19:42 ATL
    DL 759 · Delta · 1h 46m · 70% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 ATL → 21:49 SDF
    DL 2842 · Delta · 1h 19m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 1 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip3h 54mTPA 17:55 to SDF 21:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.