tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Boston via Atlanta: arrives on time 39%

  1. 17:55 TPA → 19:42 ATL
    DL 759 · Delta · 1h 46m · 70% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 ATL → 23:14 BOS
    DL 300 · Delta · 2h 44m · 70% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 19mTPA 17:55 to BOS 23:14, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.