tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Dallas-Fort Worth via Atlanta: arrives on time 39%

  1. 17:55 TPA → 19:42 ATL
    DL 759 · Delta · 1h 46m · 70% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:50 ATL → 22:11 DFW
    DL 3161 · Delta · 2h 22m · 55% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip5h 17mTPA 17:55 to DFW 22:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.