tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 76%

  1. 22:15 SAN → 05:43 DTW
    DL 764 · Delta · 4h 28m · 90% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:03 DTW → 09:00 JFK +1 day
    DL 5216 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 57m · 81% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 45mSAN 22:15 to JFK 09:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.