tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Tampa via Detroit: arrives on time 81%

  1. 22:15 SAN → 05:43 DTW
    DL 764 · Delta · 4h 28m · 90% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:00 DTW → 09:38 TPA +1 day
    DL 2852 · Delta · 2h 38m · 87% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 23mSAN 22:15 to TPA 09:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.